🎰 Mega NFL projections -- Likely Super Bowl LIV matchups, draft order, more

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ESPN projected the NFL season on Tuesday, and Eagles fans should feel good - but not great. By Adam Hermann.


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Queen Has Spoken Blog: NFL Record Predictions - ESPN Coastal
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NFC West Futures for 2020 NFL Season - Daily Wager

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Find the best projected stats of the NFL season and build the best Fantasy Football team.


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What can we learn from ESPN's NFL FPI projections? Everything and nothing all at once.


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Chiefs reign supreme again? A new king in the AFC East? We ran simulations for the NFL season with our Football Power Index.


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Predicting ALL 32 TEAMS 2020 NFL Record Game-by-Game

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Stephen A., Max make their early NFL playoff predictions - First Take - ESPN

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The ESPN Analytics team ran simulations of the season. The Chiefs are favorites, but there were plenty of surprises, including a Miami.


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By Andrew Cohen April 21, Both the NFL and ESPN have launched free-to​-play online prediction contests for the upcoming NFL draft. The league also.


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Now that the NFL Draft has passed and the schedule for the season has been revealed, it's that much ESPN prediction:


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Chiefs reign supreme again? A new king in the AFC East? We ran simulations for the NFL season with our Football Power Index.


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Colin Cowherd makes his 2020 NFL predictions ahead of tonight's schedule release - THE HERD

But is that actually true? Consider the Chiefs' opponents: Their Vegas win totals factor in that they have to play the Chiefs, a more difficult than average game. Well, FPI actually always loved them. Ex-Bucs exec Culverhouse, player advocate, dies. After quarterback Patrick Mahomes put in another strong season and led the Chiefs to the Lombardi trophy last season, Kansas City's offense is as sure a bet to be elite as you can have in the NFL. Baltimore Ravens. Source: Change likely as Redskins review name. That was fueled almost exclusively by the team's offense, which finished third in efficiency, while the defense was merely average. So why the love for the Cowboys all of a sudden? What we found was somewhat surprising. The Broncos have five games against top FPI teams: two against the Chiefs, one against the Bucs, one on the road at the Patriots and one against the Saints. Dallas finished last season, failed to reach the playoffs and fired longtime coach Jason Garrett, replacing him with former Packers coach Mike McCarthy. Those four teams are widely expected to be contenders after their respective successes last season. The new No. Barnwell: What went wrong for Baker Mayfield, and can he be fixed? To test the effect of the seventh seed, we simulated the , , and seasons based on preseason ratings with both the old six-team format and the new seven-team format. There's a similar story for the Nos. Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Either it faces a No. Buoyed by what FPI considers to be easily the best offense in football, the Chiefs are more than a touchdown better than an average NFL team and more than a point better than the second-best team in the league, the Baltimore Ravens. It is the most likely team to land the No. SOS is often calculated by using last year's win-loss record, but that is a faulty measure. Washington Redskins' nickname has been under fire for decades. Speaking of those new seventh seeds, who does FPI predict they will be in ? Twelve months ago we assumed Alabama's Tua Tagovailoa would be the first pick in the draft. Not super surprising so far, right? Cleveland Browns. None of that is a shock. Though the No. But then, interestingly, the No. And it's a big reason to be bullish on the Cowboys overall. How the Jets have failed him. And indeed, there is a large drop-off between the four teams with a double-digit-percent shot at winning Super Bowl LV and the rest of the pack. The buzz around the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and the Patriots feels noticeably different this offseason. In fact, its divisional chances might be even higher if the Philadelphia Eagles weren't directly behind Dallas in FPI's rankings at No. But when we do look down at the No. Of course, there's no guarantee that Clemson quarterback Trevor Lawrence will be the No. The Colts have only one such game, at home against the Ravens in Week 9. Strength of schedule A new playoff format NFL draft projections. So what's going on here? Because offense is more predictable from year to year relative to defense, the model has confidence that the Chiefs will be one of the best teams -- if not the best team -- in the league this season. But based on our simulations, this amounts to either a negligible or small advantage. But even if the Jags don't land the top pick, there's a very good chance they'll still land a top pick. And it says the Denver Broncos have the toughest schedule in the league, while the Colts have the easiest. Minnesota Vikings. As mentioned, offense is more consistent year to year. McCarthy might bring a pass-heavier approach, and while it is not represented in the model, it supports the notion even more. The No. Cam Newton fantasy football outlook and projection as a New England Patriot. Why I'm optimistic about Cam Newton. It fails to capture the fact that teams can be of different quality than their record suggests, given offseason player movement and the various effects of home-field advantage and rest differential. But to be fair, those sims were based on the actual teams in each of these seasons. A seventh playoff team in the conference also opens up the possibility that all four teams in a division could reach the postseason. Though the Bucs are legitimate contenders, these are the worst preseason projections a Brady-led team has had since ESPN started doing them in Here's how close the margin is: Buffalo has a This division is a toss-up for the first time since we discovered fire. Bengals spent big on defense, but is there a cornerstone player?{/INSERTKEYS}{/PARAGRAPH} What about a seventh ring for Brady? So it could be affected by the range of team strengths in those seasons. The upside for Jacksonville? Instead, increased chances for the lower seeds -- especially the No. Browns TE Njoku asks for trade, agent says. And yet, FPI doesn't see much of a difference between these two teams. To test further, we ran additional sims in two additional scenarios: one in which each seed had a set level of team strength, and one in which all seeds were given the same team strength before home-field advantage. The Washington Redskins , who just selected No. CFL's Edmonton Eskimos keeping team name. Despite the mediocre. With the new playoff format, the biggest changes are that it has the potential to face a No. By far the most likely division for that to happen is the NFC West, which achieved the result in out of 20, simulations. Buffalo is one of four divisional favorites that did not win its division in One area in which FPI is particularly helpful is its ability to calculate strength of schedule. Simply put, Baltimore has a better offense than San Francisco. An initial reaction to the league's decision to increase the playoff field was that it made the No. But the same pattern emerged, though the No. Though FPI is heavily reliant on preseason win totals, it teases out team ratings and therefore can calculate schedule strength without really running into any of those problems. {PARAGRAPH}{INSERTKEYS}Preseason ratings are based on each team's Las Vegas win total; last season's performance on offense, defense and special teams; the number of returning starters; coaching staff changes; and starting and backup quarterbacks. No team is more likely to earn a No. So to sum up: The No. The Cowboys didn't win enough, but they were good enough. FPI produces team rankings and season projections , which we're unveiling for the season for the first time here. Skip to navigation. The addition of a seventh playoff team in each conference has changed the structure of the postseason. One-third of the time in our simulations, the seventh seed came from a division with another wild-card team. The effect is that it makes the Chiefs' schedule look easier than it is. Washington Redskins. Barnwell: Is this Sam Darnold's last chance? Source: NFL may fine players for virus violations. Time will tell! Here are some of the bigger takeaways from our 20, FPI season simulations -- and jump to the bottom to see the full listing of FPI rankings for all 32 teams. No matter what, the No. Sometimes SOS is computed by comparing the Vegas win totals of every team's opponent, but this too is a faulty measure. So with many of the key ingredients back -- including quarterback Dak Prescott , wide receiver Amari Cooper and offensive linemen Tyron Smith , La'el Collins and Zack Martin -- there's every reason to be bullish on the Dallas offense. Louis Riddick goes through the Kansas City Chiefs' schedule to break down some of the biggest challenges they will face. Measuring Tom Brady's fantasy impact on his Buccaneers teammates. New York Jets. Barnwell's grade: The move of the offseason? But while the Ravens have a far superior defense to the Chiefs, it's not enough to make up for Kansas City's advantage on offense. That translates into a slight advantage for the Bucs in terms of chance to reach the playoffs. New England Patriots.